Guide
Kaspa Daily tracks on-chain, mining, exchange, whale, and derivatives data for the Kaspa network. This guide explains what each chart measures and how alerts work. All data is provided for informational purposes only.
Charts
Signals
A five-paragraph daily summary covering price action, mining health, exchange and whale flows, derivatives, and valuation regime. Generated daily at 00:15 UTC by Claude AI using the same on-chain data that powers the dashboard.
A traffic-light overview aggregating 12 indicators (Puell, Cycle Score, MAs, hashrate, NVT, exchange reserve, funding, OI, liquidations, whale flow) into a single conditions read. Green tiles reflect historically lower-risk readings; red tiles reflect historically elevated readings.
Price & Market
Daily KAS price with 30-day and 90-day moving averages and volume toggle. Moving averages smooth out noise and help identify trend direction — price above both MAs is generally bullish, below both is bearish.
Shows how far KAS is currently trading below its all-time high. Deep drawdowns (>70%) have historically coincided with accumulation opportunities.
Daily KAS issued to miners based on the chromatic emission schedule. Kaspa reduces block rewards monthly, making emission predictable and deflationary over time.
The KAS/BTC ratio over time, showing whether KAS is gaining or losing value relative to Bitcoin. Rising ratio means KAS is outperforming BTC.
30-day rolling annualized volatility. High volatility periods often coincide with major price moves in either direction.
30-day rolling Pearson correlation between KAS and BTC daily returns. Low or negative correlation means KAS is moving independently of Bitcoin.
Daily trading volume as a percentage of market cap. Unusually high readings can signal major market events or manipulation.
Valuation & On-Chain
Compares today's miner revenue (in USD) to the 365-day average. Below 0.5 historically coincides with miner stress and market bottoms. Above 2.0 historically coincides with elevated conditions.
A composite indicator (0–100) combining Puell Multiple, hashrate trend, and price position. Below 40 indicates historically low-risk conditions. Above 70 indicates historically elevated conditions.
Market Value to Realized Value (price-based proxy). Compares current market cap to a 90-day lagged price applied to current supply. Quick approximation; for the on-chain version see MVRV Ratio.
Aggregate value of all KAS at the price they last moved on-chain — a measure of cost basis across all holders. Crossings of market cap below realized cap have historically coincided with bottoming periods.
On-chain Market Cap divided by Realized Cap. Values above 3.5 have historically coincided with overheated tops; values below 1.0 with capitulation lows.
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. The share of market cap representing aggregate unrealized gains. Above 0.75 marks the euphoria zone; negative readings indicate capitulation.
Network Value to Transactions. Divides market cap by daily volume — a high NVT suggests the network is overvalued relative to its economic activity.
Daily transaction count and active addresses. Rising activity with stable or rising price historically coincides with healthy growth.
Mining
Compares the 30-day and 60-day hashrate moving averages. When the 30d crosses above the 60d (bullish crossover), it has historically coincided with miner recovery after capitulation periods.
Daily miner earnings in USD from block rewards. Tracks the economic health of the mining ecosystem.
Revenue per TH/s — a proxy for miner margins. Declining profitability can precede miner capitulation or hash rate drops.
Exchange & Whale
Net KAS moving to or from exchanges daily. Outflows (green) suggest accumulation — coins moving to self-custody. Inflows (red) suggest potential selling pressure.
Per-exchange breakdown of daily net flows. Helps identify which venues are seeing unusual inflows or outflows.
Total KAS held on tracked exchanges as a percentage of circulating supply. Rising reserve historically coincides with increased sell pressure.
A snapshot of KAS supply distribution — exchanges, whales (10M+ KAS wallets), project funds, and retail.
Top 30 non-exchange wallet balances shown as a horizontal bar chart.
Total KAS held by wallets with 10M+ KAS (excluding exchanges and pools) over time. Rising trend historically coincides with smart money accumulation.
30-day rolling change in total whale balances — momentum view of whale flow with KAS price overlay. Sustained positive deltas have historically coincided with markup phases.
Derivatives
Total value of outstanding KAS perpetual futures contracts. Rising OI with rising price confirms trend. Rising OI with falling price signals increasing short pressure.
The 8-hour funding rate paid between longs and shorts. Positive (teal) means longs are paying shorts — bullish sentiment. Negative (red) means shorts are paying longs — bearish lean.
Running total of funding payments since October 2025. Sustained positive cumulative funding historically coincides with overleveraged long positioning.
Current funding rates per exchange shown as color-coded tiles. Teal = positive (longs pay), red = negative (shorts pay). When most exchanges show high positive rates simultaneously, the market has historically been overleveraged.
Daily long vs short liquidation volume. Long-dominated liquidations (red) historically coincide with sharp selloffs. Short-dominated (teal) with short squeezes.
Open interest relative to market cap — a leverage indicator. High ratio means the derivatives market is large relative to spot, historically associated with elevated volatility.
Compares futures open interest to spot trading volume. A high ratio signals speculative excess and historically coincides with overleveraged market conditions.
Daily liquidation volume as a share of open interest. Spikes mark forced-position-flush events that have historically coincided with local turning points.
Where current 30-day volatility sits in its historical distribution. Compressed volatility regimes have historically preceded large directional moves.
Alerts
Alerts fire once when a signal crosses a threshold — not every day the condition holds. Pro subscribers can set up to 5 alerts, delivered via Telegram. Manage alerts in Settings → Alerts.
Puell Multiple drops below 0.5
Triggers when miner revenue falls significantly below the yearly average — historically a zone associated with market bottoms.
Puell Multiple rises above 1.5
Triggers when miner revenue is elevated above historical average — historically associated with caution zones.
Cycle Score drops below 40
Composite score enters the historically low-risk accumulation range.
Cycle Score rises above 70
Composite score enters the historically elevated risk range.
Hash Ribbon turns bullish
The 30-day hashrate MA crosses above the 60-day MA — historically associated with miner recovery after capitulation.
Hash Ribbon turns bearish
The 30-day hashrate MA crosses below the 60-day MA — historically associated with miner capitulation.
NVT Ratio crosses above 30d MA
Network appears overvalued relative to its recent transaction activity.
NVT Ratio crosses below 30d MA
Network appears undervalued relative to its recent transaction activity.
mVRV crosses above 2.0
Market cap is more than double the estimated realized value — historically a distribution zone.
mVRV crosses below 1.0
Market cap falls below estimated realized value — historically an accumulation zone.
Exchange Reserve drops below 3.5B
Low exchange supply — historically associated with reduced sell pressure.
Exchange Reserve rises above 5B
High exchange supply — historically associated with increased sell pressure.
Price crosses above 30d MA
Bullish momentum crossover signal.
Price crosses below 30d MA
Bearish momentum crossover signal.
KAS/BTC ratio crosses above 30d average
KAS is outperforming Bitcoin on a relative basis.
KAS/BTC ratio crosses below 30d average
KAS is underperforming Bitcoin on a relative basis.
Whales turn net accumulating (30d)
Large wallet holders have shifted from net selling to net buying over the past 30 days.
Whales turn net distributing (30d)
Large wallet holders have shifted from net buying to net selling over the past 30 days.
Funding Rate exceeds 0.05% per 8h
Perpetuals market is heavily long-biased — historically associated with squeeze risk.
Funding Rate turns negative
Shorts are paying longs — historically associated with bearish market sentiment.
Open Interest spikes >30% above 7d average
Leverage is building rapidly — historically associated with elevated volatility.
All data on Kaspa Daily is provided for informational purposes only. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial advice. Historical correlations do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making any financial decisions.